2018 Exit Polling Recap

“Democracy needs people to be in the habit of thinking about the merits of the other view, and it’s truly a habit. It’s a way of behaving. It’s not the kind of thing that you can just never do and then suddenly do with ease. Citizens in a democracy need to practice these skills, just like reading or playing an instrument. To do it well, you have to do it all the time.” – Constitutional Law Professor Richard Primus, University of Michigan (from ” A Lesson in Democracy for 9-Year-Olds” The Atlantic, 11/4/2016).

On November 6, 2018, as we do every year on Election Day, USL students spent the day focused on exit polling. We conducted polls for two statewide races (Governor/Lt. Governor & Attorney General), U.S. House of Representatives District 1, Charleston County School Board, and a proposed amendment to the state Constitution regarding the Superintendent of Education.  Each student interviewed voters at two precincts in two different municipalities, and USL visited 28 total voting sites.

Students then compiled the information and predicted the outcomes using our exit poll results.

The Post & Courier featured our Charleston County exit poll results in an article posted to their website a few hours after the polls closed, and ABC News 4 also highlighted the lessons our students learn:

Overview: University School, serving grades 3-12, is a school that explores elections and the democratic process, and this means hearing from different candidates, learning about different parties, and exploring issues of governance and civics. This is an annual experience, and it culminates in our yearly exit polling project, and this entails students going to precincts on Election Day to poll voters on their choices. We then return to campus that day and make informed predictions of the outcomes of the races. It is a great learning activity about mathematics, statistics, and the democratic process for us all. Doing it yearly also enables students to see first-hand the ebb and flow of turnout rates for the different types of elections, etc., and it helps to develop students who will be active participants in the civic arena.

2018 Preparation: Our students watch the news every morning, and we strive to keep them apprised of the issues of the day. University School hosted guest speakers representing many political parties, as well as several focused on voting and Constitutional rights, to better understand a variety of perspectives and platforms.

Katie Arrington spoke with USL students about her platform

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Katie Arrington, Republican Candidate for U.S. House of Representatives District #1

Jay Bender, Legal Counsel to the South Carolina Press Association

Melissa Couture, Libertarian Candidate for S.C. House #114

Shayna Howell, League of Women Voters

Gregg Jocoy, Green Party chapter leader in upstate South Carolina

JA Moore, Democratic Candidate for S.C. House #15

Joe Riley, Former City of Charleston Mayor

Joan Zaleski, League of Women Voters

Sharing Our Results: We like to use our results to predict the outcome. However, the students also have learned that exit polls can affect voter behavior if they are released before the end of voting. Therefore, our results are compiled but not released to our community and beyond until after the polls close.

2018 Results 
We conducted approximately 2000 exit polls from 26 precincts in Charleston County and 2 voting locations (Daniel Island) in Berkeley County.
(1) Charleston County – Governor
64% Smith
32 % McMaster
—– Smith won 22 of the 26 precincts we exit polled in Charleston County
(2) Charleston County – Attorney General
62% Anastopoulo
37% Wilson
—– Anastopoulo won 22 of the 26 precincts we exit polled in Charleston County
(3) Charleston County – US House District #1
66.5% Cunningham
32.6% Arrington
—– Cunninghman won 25 of 26 precincts we exit polled in Charleston County
—– Cunningham beat Arrington on Daniel Island 60% to 40%

(4) School Board – Charleston County – East Cooper (2 winners)

Darby (33.8%) and Rambo (27.5%)
—- Green follows with 21.8% and Johnson with 16.8%
(5)  School Board – Charleston County – North Area
Coats wins with 44.6%
— Pettigrew at 31.5% and Lucas with 24%
(6)  School Board – Charleston County – West Ashley
Mack wins with 35.2%
— Padron 27%, Beylotte 20%, Fielding 17%
(7) Charleston County – Supt. Education Constitutional Amendment
— rejected 64% to 36%
(8) Charleston County – Voters who moved here in last 5 years
29%

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