2010 Exit Polling Recap

Today (Tuesday, November 2) was a special Learning Outside the Classroom day at University School of the Lowcountry.  We conducted exit polling for several of the statewide and local races and one of the referendums (sales tax for CCSD).  We chose 14 polling sites in Charleston County, representing 37 precincts in Mount Pleasant, Charleston, North Charleston, West Ashley, and James Island.  Approximately 700 exit polls were completed, and this enabled us to make informed predictions or commentary about each contest.

The students prepared for this event for weeks.  This is a yearly experience, following upon similar endeavors we undertook during prior elections.  It is a great learning activity about mathematics, statistics, and the democratic process for us all.

On Wednesday, November 3, we will review the results of Tuesday’s election. We will compare our predicted results by precinct and by race to the actual results.

The below results were posted on Tuesday, November 2 at 7:10 PM.

Statewide Races – OVERALL
U.S. Senate (736 votes)
Clements (Green) 77 (11%)
DeMint (Republican) 422 (61%)
Greene (Democratic) 112 (16%)
Nathalie Dupree (Write-in) 77 (11%)

Governor (747 votes)
Haley (Republican) 405 (54%)
Sheheen (Democratic) 332 (45%)
Reeves (Green/United Citizens) 10 (1%)

Lieutenant Governor (728 votes)
Ard (Republican) 395 (54%)
Cooper (Democratic) 333 (46%)

Attorney General (704 votes)
Minard (Green) 15 (2%)
Richardson (Democratic) 297 (42%)
Wilson (Republican) 392 (56%)

Local Races and Other Questions

U.S. House District One (727 votes)
Blandford (Libertarian) 5 (1%)
Dobbs (Green) 7 (1%)
Frasier (Democratic) 210 (29%)
Groce (Working Families) 19 (3%)
McCullough (United Citizens) 5 (1%)
Scott (Republican) 475 (65%) * predicted winner
Wood (independence) 6 (1%)

Charleston County School Board – West Ashley (One Seat) (426 votes)
Miller 202 (47%)
Taylor 224 (53%)

Of the 14 precincts polled, the two candidates each won 7. 

Charleston County School Board – East Cooper (Two Seats) (703 votes)
Ascue 258 (37%) * predicted winner  
Moffly 274 (39%) * predicted winner
Wilcox 171 (24%)

Of the 14 precincts polled, Wilcox was third in 11. 

Charleston County School District – Sales Tax Referendum (507 votes)
Yes (in favor) 383 (64%) * predicted winner
No (opposed) 214 (36%)

Of the 14 precincts polled, the referendum was only losing in 1.

Berkeley County – Hanahan Mayoral Election 
Too few polls were completed, so sharing numbers or percentages would be misleading. However, the polls suggested incumbent Mayor Minnie Blackwell was in a close race with Tim Baker, and they both were leading Levy Berry by a 3-1 margin.

Is there a political party that best represents your views (check one) 723 votes
Constitution 7 (1%)
Democratic 207 (29%)
Green 12 (2%)
Independence 22 (3%)
Libertarian 17 (2%)
Republican 366 (51%)
United Citizens 0 (0%)
Working Families 3 (0%)
Other 1 (0%)
None, I am an Independent 88 (12%)

Sources of Exit Polling Data:
1) Charleston 1 & 2 – Hazel Parker Playground
2) Charleston 14 & 16 – Mitchell Elementary School
3) Mount Pleasant 2, 4 & 5 – Town of Mt. Pleasant Municipal Complex
4) Mount Pleasant 3, 15, 16 – Mount Pleasant National Guard Armory
5) Mount Pleasant 10, 11, 12 – Whitesides Elementary School
6) Mount Pleasant 22, 23, 24 – Christ Episcopal Church
7) Mount Pleasant 26, 28, 29 – Jones Recreation Center
8) Mount Pleasant 31, 32, 34 – Greater Goodwill AME Church
9) Mount Pleasant 38, 39 – Wando High School
10) James Island 5A, 5B, 6, 7, 10 – James Island Charter High School
11) North Charleston 21 & 22 – Lambs Elementary School
12) North Charleston 27 & 29 – Midland Park Primary
13) North Charleston 18 & 20 0 W.B. Goodwin Elementary
14) St. Andrews 3 & 9 – W.L. Stephens Aquatic Center
15) various precincts in Berkeley County for the Hanahan Mayoral race

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